[lurker]

Running out of Mexicans
Submitted by sonomaca on Thu, 2006-11-23 00:57.
Actually, Mexican fertility rates have dropped precipitously. In the late 1970's Mexican fertility was around 7. The CIA factbook has it now at 2.42. I believe that it will go below replacement in the next few years.

Mexican migrants to the US were part of a fertility boom that has ended. In the future, the American problem will not be too many Mexicans, but too few (remember there are only 108 million Mexicans in total!).

Meanwhile, fertility in other LatAm countries has also fallen:

The highest is Guatemala at 3.82 (global rank #60) and going down fast. Belize is 3.60 and Honduras 3.59. El Salvador is 3.12 (rank #74). Bolivia and Dominican Republic are around 2.85. Peru and Columbia around 2.5. Venezuela and Costa Rica are just above replacement.

The US is more fertile than Chile and Brazil, and is about the same as Argentina.

Folks, Latin America is running out of people to send abroad. If you want a fresh supply of non-Muslim immigrants, you'll have to look to non-Muslim Africa. Everywhere else is pretty much tapped out.

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